Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 8.719817 10.022688 11.411395 12.997129 14.752937 16.632788 18.792778
2025-03-09 6.688935 8.434724 10.428943 12.856819 15.713153 18.946964 22.864082
2025-03-16 5.181851 7.137392 9.520553 12.595131 16.409898 20.939476 26.672216
2025-03-23 4.421942 6.589876 9.386010 13.175847 18.089974 24.154157 32.100604
2025-03-30 3.665302 5.904938 8.957292 13.292338 19.147357 26.629407 36.741982
2025-04-06 2.891406 5.054029 8.173371 12.815962 19.341898 27.965886 39.967905
2025-04-13 2.262392 4.297036 7.402945 12.241320 19.306329 28.940409 42.714412
2025-04-20 2.008301 4.078909 7.385137 12.721069 20.741566 31.938757 48.269760
2025-04-27 1.894694 4.072071 7.681321 13.677089 22.901855 36.023203 55.463068
2025-05-04 1.747069 3.978107 7.818473 14.383668 24.717493 39.684738 62.195769
2025-05-11 1.513276 3.683463 7.582968 14.466422 25.577162 41.990461 67.081624
2025-05-18 1.252501 3.286149 7.118006 14.121374 25.733521 43.248719 70.484270
2025-05-25 1.043744 2.960223 6.750491 13.922830 26.133747 44.929014 74.638346
2025-06-01 0.896009 2.735158 6.539624 13.970093 26.923863 47.223780 79.777308
2025-06-08 0.748230 2.475917 6.226965 13.801963 27.337660 48.945543 84.110632
2025-06-15 0.699828 2.450022 6.378433 14.492812 29.233297 53.054289 92.198081
2025-06-22 0.612309 2.302584 6.257524 14.657063 30.224954 55.757884 98.205319
2025-06-29 0.490016 2.025796 5.818438 14.163707 30.026087 56.525100 101.215474
2025-07-06 0.382263 1.754755 5.347277 13.553349 29.565401 56.825038 103.475705
2025-07-13 0.353487 1.724075 5.432083 14.080397 31.200776 60.649738 111.448655
2025-07-20 0.352730 1.788059 5.752695 15.120323 33.830863 66.220024 122.363028
2025-07-27 0.337641 1.798254 5.940256 15.887714 35.978834 71.033261 132.163244
2025-08-03 0.294023 1.691643 5.818703 15.978745 36.846378 73.688323 138.515125